WebMCMC output. q For Raftery and Lewis diagnostic, the target quantile to be estimated r For Raftery and Lewis diagnostic, the required precision. s For Raftery and Lewis diagnostic, the probability of obtaining an estimate in the interval (q-r, q+r). quantiles Vector of quantiles to print when calculating summary statistics for MCMC output. WebMay 8, 2024 · The use of heuristics to assess the convergence and compress the output of Markov chain Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical approximations that are produced. Typically a number of the initial states are attributed to "burn in" and removed, whilst the remainder of the chain is "thinned" if compression is also required. In this paper …
Statistically efficient thinning of a Markov chain sampler
WebIn this paper we consider the problem of retrospectively selecting a subset of states, of fixed cardinality, from the sample path such that the approximation provided by their empirical distribution is close to optimal. WebKF_output_MCMC_[mode_name].m: ... The thinning factor for these parameter draws are set to minimize the autocorrelation in the resulting draws. compute_MHM.m: ... optimal_policy_smoothing_[model_name].m: a wrapper script for each model to specify the model properties. The script then launches MC simulations over a parameter grid and … stiched range azimuth heat map
On thinning of chains in MCMC - Link - 2012 - besjournals
WebFeb 3, 2024 · Organisation. The use of heuristics to assess the convergence and compress the output of Markov chain Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical … WebOct 27, 2015 · That observation is often taken to mean that thinning MCMC output cannot improve statistical efficiency. Here we suppose that it costs one unit of time to advance a Markov chain and then units of time to compute a sampled quantity of interest. For a thinned process, that cost is incurred less often, so it can be advanced through more stages. WebIn this paper we propose a novel method, called Stein Thinning, that selects an indexset π, of specified cardinality m, such that the associated empirical approximation is closeto optimal. The method is designed to ensure that (2) is a consistent approximation of P . stiche stirn